【ACY证券】伦敦桥塌了！ 英女王委任新首相后离世！
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><b style=""><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">英女王伊丽莎白二世昨晚离世，享年</span></span></b><b style="">9</span></span></b><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">6</span></b><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">岁，是英国迄今最长寿、在位最久的君主。</span></b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">英国王室有一个传统，将一座桥的名称作为君主葬礼的代号，而</span></span>“伦敦桥”便是英女王驾崩的暗号。这位享誉盛名的“老太太”不仅是英国女王，也是澳大利亚与新西兰等英联邦国家的君主。她的一生虽然不参与政治，但推动了英帝国向英联邦的和平过渡，并见证了长达一个世纪的全球时代变迁。<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">在英女王去世后，其长子查尔斯继承王位，并被为</span></span>“查尔斯三世国王”。据英国央行称，印有女王的纸币仍然是法定货币，但预计未来会在纸币上印刷查尔斯国王的头像。一时间仿佛什么都没有改变，然而人心却在此刻变了。要知道，目前在英国越来越多的年轻人开始抵制君主制支持共和制。<b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">对于很多英国人而言，君主制和女王是同一个词，而查尔斯国王的支持者并不多。</span></b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">和女王的不参政不同，查尔斯国王数十年来一直就公共议题向政府部门游说，令不少人心存担忧。英联邦精神领袖的离世或将对舆论产生巨大的影响。就拿澳大利亚来说，已经有不少官员表达过脱离英联邦的想法。而在脱欧前后，英国内部也是矛盾不断，北爱尔兰与苏格兰存在独立风险。</span><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">这种潜在的地缘政治风险是英国经济恢复的另一项制约。</span></b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></b></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">此外，在女王在世期间，共命名了</span></span>1<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">5</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">个首相，而最后任命的首相特拉斯就在本周二接受了委任。新首相特拉斯上任后的第一把火汹涌而至，宣布将执行价值</span></span>1<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">500</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">亿英镑的紧急能源计划，帮助英国家庭与企业渡过能源危机这个难关。为期两年将家庭能源账单控制在每年</span></span>2<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">500</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">英镑，而根据机构预测，英国</span></span>2<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">3</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">年全年的家庭能源费用将超过</span></span>6<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">600</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">英镑，其中的差额将由英国政府来买单。</span><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">创纪录的经常帐赤字与通胀率，令英国的政策路径尤为狭窄。财政宽松叠加货币紧缩，高收益债券信用下滑，实际要求回报率上升，英国的经济极有可能陷入负增长的泥潭。</span></b></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></b><br><br>data/attachment/portal/202209/13/153620it1ozoxctrc0brgk.jpg<br></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"> </span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">在加息环境中，英美两国的未来经济差距较为明显，在紧缩的力度上也有不小的距离。从央行资产表来看，两条线形成剪刀差，英国缩表的速度不及美国，资产表仍在扩张阶段。这也对应了财政刺激需要的流动性。由此来看，英镑兑美元中短线依旧以看空为主，而欧元对英镑则可以顺着欧洲央行加息</span></span>7<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">5</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">基点做短线的突破多单。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"> </span><br><br>data/attachment/portal/202209/13/153629kjvfojrbrkkizynr.jpg<br></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;"><i><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">GBPUSD日线图</span></i><i><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></i></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">从镑美日线图来看，现价正处在长期关键支撑位</span></span>1<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">.14</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">水平线附近，受到欧洲央行加息影响，美元短线贬值，令英镑近两日连续升值。不过长线形态还是处在下降通道当中，属于短多长空的走势。考虑到美国经济数据抢眼，这波反弹的幅度可能并不大。中短线可以等待价格高点，做逢高看空，入场点位可以关注跌平跌中继形态</span></span>1<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">.17</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">-1</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">.18</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">位置附近。可以配合威廉指标从超买区回归中心区域的回调信号。中长线入场则可以等待价格突破</span></span>1<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">.14</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">大关，大型反转头部结构成立，便有机会持有中长线空单。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"> </span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">今日关注数据</span></span> </span></span></b><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"> </span></b><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></b></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0000pt;background:rgb(255,255,255);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">16</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">:</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">30 </span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">英国央行公布通胀程度调查报告</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0000pt;background:rgb(255,255,255);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">2</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">0</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">:</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">30 </span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">加拿大</span></span>8月就业人数<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0000pt;background:rgb(255,255,255);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">2</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">2</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">:</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">00 </span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">美国</span></span>7月批发销售月率<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0000pt;background:rgb(255,255,255);"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"> </span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0000pt;vertical-align:baseline;"><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">联系我们</span></b><span style="font-family: Arial;"> </span><span 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